🛡️ InsurTech

Pension Run-Ons: £3bn Scheme's Surplus Gamble Exposed by Models

A £3 billion defined benefit pension scheme, funded at 105%, faces stark choices in run-on mode. Ortec Finance's projections show net returns swinging wildly — surplus grabs versus deficit hits.

Chart of stochastic NPV outcomes for £3bn DB pension scheme in run-on scenario

⚡ Key Takeaways

  • strong surplus frameworks with triggers, graduations, and recoveries are non-negotiable for run-ons. 𝕏
  • Stochastic modeling reveals NPV volatility — balance liquidity and yield via CFDI. 𝕏
  • Risks persist with trustees; flexibility tempts, but 2008 echoes demand caution. 𝕏
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Originally reported by Fintech Global

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